SENT: 3rd Quarter 2022 Portfolio Review

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Portfolio Review

Overall U.S. equity market volatility persisted in third quarter as all broad U.S. market indices posted negative returns including the S&P 500 Index, Russell 2000 Index, S&P 400 Index, S&P 600 Index, and the Russell 3000 Index. Growth stocks within these indices were the relative out-performers but were still negative for the quarter – with the exception of the Russell 2000 Growth Index which eeked out a modest profit at +0.24% for the quarter.

The Alpha DNA Equity Sentiment ETF (SENT) managed to deliver +3.83% for Q3. These returns compare favorably to the major market indices above that delivered returns between -2% and -5% for the quarter.

SENT is a hedged equity strategy. As a hedged equity strategy, the name perfectly describes the two portfolio components that provide contribution to the overall portfolio returns – the long equity holdings and the hedge overlay. Most quarters, these two components are inversely correlated. However, we managed to deliver a positive contribution to profits in BOTH components in Q3. The hedges contributed around +0.5% of the positive +3.8% overall returns. The other +3.3% was contributed by the equal weight individual equity portfolio.

The portfolio was overweight energy, financials, and transports compared to the broader indices we build our hedges in (i.e., the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000). While we were slightly overweight technology, we were underweight the sector compared to our historical averages – by a margin of 0.5x. Within technology, our portfolio was comprised mostly of semi-conductors.

The three industries delivering the most contribution in the quarter to, in order of magnitude were Energy, Technology, and Consumer Discretionary. Each of these sectors delivered a positive overall contribution and an average return per stock that was positive. The three sectors that detracted the most from the portfolio returns were, in order of worst listed first, Financial services, Industrials, and Real Estate. Technology was a laggard in the broad markets as a sector in the quarter. However, our portfolio’s ability to produce strong positive returns in the face of those market winds was a very strong positive for the portfolio given that we are overweight technology. In addition, being overweight energy also was a major contributor in the quarter to our out-performance.

Our large cap portfolio delivered an out-sized portion of the contributions in the quarter as did the growth-oriented stocks (as categorized by Morningstar).

Our ten biggest contributors in the equity portfolio for the quarter included 5 stocks in energy (energy highlighted in bold): PBF Energy Inc (PBF),  ON Semiconductor Corp (ON),  Hubbell Inc (HUBB),  Hashicorp Inc (HCP), Matador Res Co (MTDR), Albemarle Corp (ALB), Biogen Inc (BIIB), Civitas Resources Inc (CIVI), Devon Energy Corporation (DVN), and Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH).

Our ten stocks that contributed the least to our returns for the quarter:  Liberty Energy Inc A (LBRT),  Skywest inc (SKYW), Patterson-UTI Energy Inc (PTEN)MRC Global (MRC)Wex Inc (WEX)Helmerich & Payne Inc (HP)Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)Genco Shipping & Trading (GNK)TTM Technologies Inc (TTMI), and Citigroup Inc (C).

Top Holdings

Ticker Security Description Portfolio Weight %
BIIB BIOGEN INC 1.33%
PBF PBF ENERGY INC-CLASS A 1.14%
R RYDER SYSTEM INC 1.11%
ESTE EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC – A 1.11%
NOG NORTHERN OIL AND GAS INC 1.10%
HCP HASHICORP INC-CL A 1.09%
SM SM ENERGY CO 1.08%
NEX NEXTIER OILFIELD SOLUTIONS I 1.07%
NOV NOV INC 1.07%
PR PERMIAN RESOURCES CORP 1.07%

As of 09.30.2022. Cash is not included.

 


Respectfully,

Wayne Ferbert
Alpha DNA
AdvisorShares Alpha DNA Equity Sentiment ETF (SENT) Portfolio Manager

 

Past Commentary

Before investing you should carefully consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. This and other information is in the prospectus, a copy of which may be obtained by visiting www.advisorshares.com. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest. Foreside Fund Services, LLC, distributor. Investing involves risk including possible loss of principal.

The Sub-Advisor continuously evaluates the Fund’s holdings, purchases and sales with a goal of achieving its investment objective, which is not guaranteed, and judgments about the markets, the economy, or companies may not anticipate actual market movements, economic conditions or company performance. Security prices of small and mid-cap companies may be more volatile than those of larger companies and therefore the Fund’s share price may be more volatile than those of funds that invest a larger percentage of their assets in securities issued by larger-cap companies.  

Options Risk. Selling (writing) and buying options are speculative activities and entail greater than ordinary investment risks. The Fund’s use of put options can lead to losses because of adverse movements in the price or value of the underlying asset, which may be magnified by certain features of the options. When selling a put option, the Fund will receive a premium; however, this premium may not be enough to offset a loss incurred by the Fund if the price of the underlying asset is below the strike price by an amount equal to or greater than the premium. Purchasing of put options involves the payment of premiums, which may adversely affect the Fund’s performance. Purchasing a put option gives the purchaser of the option the right to sell a specified quantity of an underlying asset at a fixed exercise price over a defined period of time. Purchased put options may expire unexercised, resulting in the Fund’s loss of the premium it paid for the option.   

Shares are bought and sold at market price (closing price) not NAV and are not individually redeemed from the Fund. Market price returns are based on the midpoint of the bid/ask spread at 4:00 pm Eastern Time (when NAV is normally determined), and do not represent the return you would receive if you traded at other times.

Holdings and allocations are subject to risks and to change. The views in this commentary are those of the portfolio manager and may not reflect his views on the date this material is distributed or anytime thereafter. These views are intended to assist shareholders in understanding their investments and do not constitute investment advice.