DWEQ: 1st Quarter 2022 Portfolio Review
Nasdaq Dorsey Wright has been a trusted partner for advisors since the 1980’s when the original team faxed Point and Figure charts from a small office in Richmond, Virginia. In the 90’s we began to implement our research into managed portfolios, later we introduced mutual funds, structured products and ETF’s. All of our strategies are based on a simple idea: buy the stocks our analysis identifies as winners and let them run. We systematically manage all of our portfolios to a set of rules that allows us to be objective and remove the emotion. It does not matter how a particular analysts feels about a stock (positive or negative), we follow our strict buy and sell process. This has, in our opinion been a hallmark of our success across a variety of asset classes.
For the AdvisorShares Dorsey Wright Alpha Equal weight ETF (Ticker: DWEQ) we continue to deploy investment ideas that have shown value over time. The first idea is that sectors showing strong momentum will often outpace the broad market and the sectors that show less favorable momentum. This is achieved by using our systematic analysis to overweight to what we believe are strong companies to capture upward momentum, as well as removing or reducing allocations to trouble areas. Prime examples are reducing or removing energy exposure during the oil sell off of 2015 or overweighting technology over the past decade. The second idea is that being overly diversified dilutes momentum returns by forcing the portfolio to own names that are not as strong. This is implemented by reducing the total number of portfolio holdings to a manageable number.
Combining both of these ideas gives us a portfolio of names that are equally weighted in the three sectors that are showing the strongest momentum. The roughly 50 names in the portfolio are equally weighted and are rebalanced every time the portfolio makes a change. This pushes the portfolio to hold what we have identified as the top names in each sector.
Portfolio & Holdings
Q1 was a slog for the market and the portfolio. In general, momentum benefits from persistent price trends, and this quarter saw a reversal in fortune for two of the best sectors of the last ten years (Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary). Unfortunately, the portfolio was heavily weighted towards these two sectors coming into the year and suffered accordingly as Technology fell -8.42% and Consumer Discretionary fell -9.37% for the quarter. This led to DWEQ falling -12.61% for the quarter vs. -4.6% for the S&P 500. The portfolio was able to rotate out of Consumer Discretionary at the end of January averting further declines there and bought Energy as a replacement. While Energy has turned out to be a great play thus far, Real Estate suffered as mortgage rates spiked. Targa Resources (TRGP) was the best performing position in the portfolio for the quarter, gaining 23.2%. Although this quarter was disappointing overall, we know momentum has a great long term track record and will identify sustainable trends in the future that deliver better performance.
|Ticker||Security Description||Portfolio Weight %|
|TRGP||TARGA RESOURCES CORP||1.95%|
|WRB||WR BERKLEY CORP||1.92%|
|MPC||MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP||1.92%|
|AON||AON PLC-CLASS A||1.90%|
|AJG||ARTHUR J GALLAGHER & CO||1.89%|
|MRO||MARATHON OIL CORP||1.87%|
|MPWR||MONOLITHIC POWER SYSTEMS INC||1.86%|
As of 03.31.2022.
John G. Lewis
Nasdaq Dorsey Wright
AdvisorShares Dorsey Wright Alpha Equal Weight ETF (DWEQ) Portfolio Strategist
Past Manager Commentary